Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.188455 0.218715 0.252306 0.292367 0.338862 0.391148 0.454445
2025-05-18 0.137807 0.177234 0.225681 0.289635 0.371944 0.474458 0.612096
2025-05-25 0.108411 0.149604 0.203877 0.280708 0.386885 0.528783 0.733436
2025-06-01 0.093733 0.137005 0.197356 0.287817 0.420338 0.607971 0.894976
2025-06-08 0.081157 0.124660 0.188390 0.288758 0.443403 0.673597 1.044133
2025-06-15 0.072389 0.116235 0.183353 0.293840 0.471948 0.749229 1.216480
2025-06-22 0.062845 0.105056 0.172299 0.287535 0.481096 0.794987 1.346478
2025-06-29 0.055736 0.096708 0.164432 0.284901 0.495117 0.849174 1.495835
2025-07-06 0.050531 0.090790 0.159674 0.286565 0.516048 0.916537 1.675146
2025-07-13 0.047984 0.089114 0.161835 0.300315 0.559416 1.027138 1.944366
2025-07-20 0.045138 0.086493 0.161917 0.310131 0.596522 1.130334 2.212199
2025-07-27 0.042351 0.083606 0.161103 0.318022 0.630682 1.231537 2.488143
2025-08-03 0.039001 0.079315 0.157309 0.320031 0.654352 1.316758 2.746333
2025-08-10 0.035437 0.074177 0.151298 0.316943 0.667567 1.383214 2.975677
2025-08-17 0.031634 0.068062 0.142589 0.307166 0.665599 1.418247 3.142805
2025-08-24 0.029928 0.066148 0.142256 0.314953 0.701711 1.536744 3.505806
2025-08-31 0.027795 0.063039 0.139019 0.315984 0.723067 1.625795 3.814101
2025-09-07 0.026241 0.061026 0.137901 0.321550 0.755156 1.742016 4.199428
2025-09-14 0.023899 0.056927 0.131679 0.314644 0.757553 1.791013 4.431668
2025-09-21 0.022078 0.053834 0.127394 0.311759 0.769066 1.862402 4.727342
2025-09-28 0.020736 0.051731 0.125178 0.313581 0.792189 1.964055 5.111581
2025-10-05 0.020305 0.051817 0.128186 0.328642 0.850064 2.157309 5.755641
2025-10-12 0.019631 0.051211 0.129433 0.339393 0.898242 2.331900 6.373482